Leeds vs Burnley Today Game Prediction: H2H Analysis, Team News, and Live Score Updates
Published by: Trendy News | Date: May 1, 2026
Introduction: A Crucial Friday Night Under the Lights
As the 2025/26 Premier League season reaches its crescendo, Elland Road prepares to host a fascinating clash today, Friday, May 1, 2026. The Leeds United vs Burnley fixture may seem like a mismatch on paper given the current league standings, but in the world of English football, surprises are the only guarantee.
Leeds United, currently sitting comfortably in 15th place with 40 points, are virtually safe from the drop. On the other hand, Burnley enters this match in 19th place with 20 points, with their relegation to the Championship already mathematically confirmed following a heartbreaking 1-0 loss to Manchester City last week. However, pride and a "nothing to lose" attitude make the Clarets a dangerous visitor.
Leeds vs Burnley Match Overview
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Date | Friday, May 1, 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 19:00 UTC / 20:00 BST |
| Venue | Elland Road, Leeds |
| Competition | Premier League - Round 35 |
| Referee | Thomas Bramall |
Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis: The Historical Context
The rivalry between Leeds and Burnley has seen various shifts in momentum over the last few years. Interestingly, while Leeds has historically held the upper hand at Elland Road, Burnley has been a "bogey team" for them in the 2025/26 cycle.
Recent H2H Results:
- Oct 18, 2025: Burnley 2-0 Leeds United (Premier League)
- Jan 27, 2025: Burnley 0-0 Leeds United (Championship)
- Sep 14, 2024: Leeds United 0-1 Burnley (Championship)
- Jan 2, 2022: Leeds United 3-1 Burnley (Premier League)
Burnley actually won the reverse fixture earlier this season and remained unbeaten against Leeds during their brief stint in the Championship last year. However, the dynamics have changed. Leeds is currently enjoying a 5-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League (W2, D3), while Burnley has lost four matches on the bounce.
Current Form & League Standings
Leeds United: Safety is Within Reach
Daniel Farke’s men have hit peak form at the right time. With 40 points, they are 6 points clear of the relegation zone with four games left. Their recent 2-1 away victory against Manchester United at Old Trafford remains the highlight of their season. Defensively, they have tightened up, and offensively, they are finding goals through varied sources.
Burnley: The Relegation Blues
It has been a season to forget for Scott Parker and the Clarets. Having conceded 68 goals—the most in the league—the defense has been their Achilles' heel. With relegation confirmed, the pressure is off, but confidence is at an all-time low. They haven't won a Premier League game since February 11, when they beat Crystal Palace 3-2.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Leeds United Injury Update
The Whites have a relatively clean bill of health. Ilia Gruev remains the only long-term absentee (expected back in July). Gabriel Gudmundsson is facing a late fitness test but is expected to feature in some capacity. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, the club's top scorer with 11 goals, is fit and hungry for goals after a mini-drought.
Burnley Injury Update
Burnley is struggling with several key absences. Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer are definitely out. There are also doubts surrounding Hannibal Mejbri and Zeki Amdouni. Zian Flemming remains the primary goal threat for the visitors.
Predicted Starting XIs:
Leeds United (3-4-2-1): Perri; Justin, Bijol, Struijk; Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson; Aaronson, Okafor; Calvert-Lewin.
Burnley (5-4-1): Dúbravka; Walker, Humphreys, Ekdal, Estève, Hartman; Tchaouna, Ward-Prowse, Laurent, Anthony; Flemming.
Expert Prediction: Leeds United vs Burnley
Everything points toward a home win today. Leeds is unbeaten in five, while Burnley is relegated and demoralized. Furthermore, Burnley’s defensive record away from home is disastrous, having conceded 9 goals in their last three away trips alone.
Final Score Prediction: Leeds United 2-1 Burnley
We expect Leeds to dominate possession and create numerous chances. While Burnley might find a "consolation" goal through a set-piece (likely delivered by Ward-Prowse), the firepower of Noah Okafor and Calvert-Lewin should be too much for the Clarets to handle.
Betting Tips & Odds
- Match Result: Leeds United to win (-239)
- Anytime Goalscorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (-111)
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 (-150)
- Value Bet: Noah Okafor 2+ shots on target (2/1)
Live Score & Where to Watch
Stay tuned to Trendy News for the live score updates today. The match will be broadcasted on the following channels:
- UK: TNT Sports and Sky Sports
- USA: NBC Sports / USA Network
- Nigeria: SuperSport
- India: Star Sports Network / JioHotstar
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